Davis Mills

Davis Mills

25-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Houston Texans
2023 Fantasy Outlook
It wasn't easy being Davis Mills (or any Texan) the last two seasons. The 2021 third-round draft pick was given an opportunity most mid-round quarterbacks don't get, but it wasn't an ideal situation. All the blemishes of Mills' game showed -- inconsistency, decision making, red zone-futility -- all while operating an offense with minimal threats under two consecutive one-and-done head coaches. For the first time since Bill O'Brien's final season in Houston, the organization is looking forward instead of treading water. Second-overall pick C.J. Stroud is the expected starter, and if either Mills or veteran Case Keenum are playing much this season, things have gone wrong. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a four-year, $5.22 million contract with the Texans in May of 2021.
Enters final year of contract
QBHouston Texans
January 23, 2024
Mills has one year remaining on his rookie contract entering the 2024 offseason. He completed 18 of 39 passes for 173 yards and two touchdowns over six regular-season games in 2023.
ANALYSIS
Mills operated as the primary backup when C.J. Stroud was healthy and starting, but when the No. 1 quarterback couldn't go in Weeks 15 and 16 due to a concussion, the Texans used Case Keenum as their starter. Both backup QBs are under contract for 2024, although Keenum's cap hit would be minimal if he were to be released.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Davis Mills' 2023 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
35.9%
 
Avg Target Depth
7.5 Yds
 
Sack Rate
4.9%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
4.3 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
10.3%
 
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2023
2022
2021
2023 NFL Game Log
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2022 NFL Game Log
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2021 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Houston TexansTexans 2023 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

101386%
1039%
575%
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2023 Davis Mills Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Davis Mills' measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
* All metrics are from his Pro Day (not the combine).
Height
6' 4"
 
Weight
225 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.81 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.40 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.95 sec
 
Vertical Jump
32.0 in
 
Broad Jump
110 in
 
Hand Length
9.50 in
 
Arm Length
31.38 in
 
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93 days ago
James Cook struggled against the Chargers on Saturday, but he dominated Buffalo's backfield snaps and touches to an extent previously unseen this season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
A 2021 third-round pick, Mills replaced an injured Tyrod Taylor early in the year before finally taking over the starting job for good. Mills struggled with efficiency - 23rd in on-target percentage (72.8) and 25th in YPA (6.8) - but he improved late in the season, posting 9/2 TD/INT and 7.4 YPA in his last five games. At 6-4, 225, Mills does not have an elite arm, but he fared well throwing deep (11th in both on-target and completion rates on 20-plus-yard attempts). He wasn't a running threat, however, and the Texans didn't have consistent pass catchers besides Brandin Cooks. The situation is similar this season, as the Texans added only second- round pick John Metchie, coming off an ACL injury and recovering from leukemia (he's not expected to play this year). They also signed RB Marlon Mack and drafted Dameon Pierce in Round 4, adding quantity if not quality to the running game. Perhaps a revamped scheme under Pep Hamilton, last year's QB coach now promoted to OC, will work in Mills' favor, but without rushing skills and surrounded by a poor roster, his fantasy outlook is limited.
Mills was selected in the third round of the 2021 draft and it's no surprise the Texans took a quarterback, as the organization suddenly faces uncertainty at a position that once appeared set for the next decade. The Stanford product's maturation as a pro could take some time due to limited experience. His first two years with the Cardinal were capped due to injuries, and he started just 11 games over the last two seasons. With Deshaun Watson's future with the team cloudy, Tyrod Taylor could well take over as the starter to start the coming campaign, with Mills potentially getting a look by midseason. The Texans need to determine if he's their signal caller of the future, or if they'll go QB hunting in the first round of the 2022 draft.
More Fantasy News
Needed in relief against Cleveland
QBHouston Texans
December 24, 2023
Mills completed 15 of 32 passes for 149 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 36-22 loss to the Browns. He also completed a two-point conversion.
ANALYSIS
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Attempts Hail Mary
QBHouston Texans
December 18, 2023
Mills was sacked for a 10-yard loss on his only play of Sunday's 19-16 overtime win over the Titans in Week 15.
ANALYSIS
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Bypassed for starting nod
QBHouston Texans
December 16, 2023
Mills is slated to remain the Texans' No. 2 quarterback Sunday against the Titans while Case Keenum draws the start in place of C.J. Stroud (concussion), who has been ruled out for the Week 15 contest, DJ Bien-Aime of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to remain backup in Week 15
QBHouston Texans
December 16, 2023
Mills is expected to remain the Texans' No. 2 quarterback for Sunday's game againt the Titans with Case Keenum in line to draw the Week 15 start in place of C.J. Stroud (concussion), Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could start with Stroud in protocol
QBHouston Texans
December 10, 2023
Mills completed one of five passes for four yards after replacing C.J. Stroud (concussion) in the fourth quarter of Sunday's 30-6 loss to the Jets.
ANALYSIS
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