This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
Struggles continued with the Week 13 tickets, as the Chiefs were the only team to help us out, beating the Raiders 40-9 to give us the +120 win on them covering a 7.5-point spread and scoring more than 43.5 (they did not cover the standard 50.5). Unfortunately, we lost on a three-team parlay of double-digit favorites after the Dolphins and Redskins straight up beat the Eagles and Panthers, respectively. Additionally, the Jaguars failed to live up to their end of the bargain of scoring 25 against the Buccaneers in a 28-11 loss, and Davante Adams only caught six of 10 targets, though two were touchdowns, coming up two short of our prop in the Packers' win.
Onto Week 14, where we don't have a lot of high totals but plenty of games to attack at the Sportsbook.
Devonta Freeman anytime touchdown and Falcons win (+220)
No team has allowed more rushing touchdowns than the 19 the Panthers have given up this season, a mark that's six more than the next-highest team. Freeman hasn't been particularly good this season, but he remains the top running back in Atlanta and is likely to get a majority of the backfield touches against a defense that has allowed at least one rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Meanwhile, the Falcons are 3.5-point favorites against a Panthers team that just fired their coach, though relying on Atlanta to take care of business has long been a dangerous situation.
Vikings -3.5 vs. Lions (-350), Packers -3.5 vs. Washington (-350), Texans -3.5 vs. Broncos (-230), Eagles -3.5 vs. Giants (-230) parlay (+240)
All four teams are at least 9.5-point favorites, and asking them to cover more than a field goal is a pretty regular bet we've considered this season. The Eagles crushing our hopes last week certainly isn't making me feel any better this week, but the numbers are the numbers and we're going to play them. A moneyline parlay of the Vikings (-700), Packers (-800), Texans (-420) and Eagles (-380) only gets us to +101, while having each of them only covering 2.5 is +130.
Bengals +8.5 and over 34.5 points (+130)
Two people chose the Bengals +8.5 in our weekly Staff Picks article, but since then the line has moved down to +7. You can, of course, still get the Bengals at +8.5 as an alternate spread bet at -130, or you can parlay it with a reasonable over 34.5 points (the regular total is 41.5 after moving up from 40.5) to get to our +130. Not only did two of them make the Bengals +8.5 their best bet, but Cincinnati was also a unanimous pick; now we just need them to score.
Alexander Mattison anytime touchdown and Vikings win (+330)
Dalvin Cook has been fully cleared to play after suffering a chest injury during last week's game, but a home matchup against the Lions is a perfect opportunity to give him a bit of a rest and let Mattison take over the backfield. Even if Mattison doesn't get early work, the Vikings are 13.5-point favorites and should be up enough at some point to warrant running the game out. If that happens, Mattison could get some looks against a Lions defense that's allowed the fifth-most rushing touchdowns and most receiving touchdowns to running backs in the NFL. If you think Cook is the safer bet (because he is), his anytime touchdown and win odds are -145.
