Exploiting the Matchups: Week 6 Start/Sit
Exploiting the Matchups: Week 6 Start/Sit

This article is part of our Exploiting the Matchups series.

As of Thursday morning, D.J. Chark was 68 percent started on Yahoo, lower than JuJu Smith-Schuster (83 percent) and Robert Woods (77 percent). Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers was at 72 percent, above Dak Prescott (65 percent) and Kyler Murray (54 percent).

I'm not saying preseason expectations are totally meaningless after five weeks, but we do have a large enough sample to place serious weight on many of the big surprises, i.e., Chark nearly doubling the fantasy production of Smith-Schuster and Woods, or Murray and Prescott sitting more than five points per game ahead of Rodgers.

That's not to say Rodgers, Smith-Schuster and Woods are poor options for the typical fantasy lineup; it's just that they're being started over better choices in some cases. My broader point? Any discussion of weekly matchups needs to account for these changes in baseline expectation. An "upgrade" for Baker Mayfield means he should have one of his better weeks in what's clearly a disappointing season, not that I expect him to put up 300 yards and three TDs.

Before we get into specific players, here are some of my favorite tools for analyzing matchups and determining player valuations each week:

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry Donabedian
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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