This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
Last week was bad. I went 6-10, lost my best bet (Saints) and went 2-3 in the Super Contest. There were some tough beats like the Chargers and Bears, and the Saints got a legitimate return TD called back because a moronic ref blew the whistle (and lost their starting QB.) But I never complain about the games that go my way when things like that happen, so there are no asterisks by losses, either. Unless you can get a result overturned – a tall order – you have to eat it. The how and why don't matter.
This week, I hate a lot of my picks. I don't like being on the Dolphins and Jets, and I wish I were on the Giants for Daniel Jones' first start. The Packers also feel sucker-ish, as do the Eagles and Vikings.
I especially like the Jaguars, Bengals, Cardinals, Seahawks and Browns.
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Titans -1.5 at Jaguars
I see these as roughly equal teams (I made the line 2.5), so that the Titans are laying wood on the road off a short week makes it an easy call. Take the Jaguars.
Jaguars 17 - 16
Broncos +8 at Packers
This was my exact line, so I could go either way, here. I guess I'll take the Packers who play better at home, facing Joe Flacco. But it's a coin flip.