This article is part of our Survivor series.
Last week was more stressful than it needed to be, with my first choice, the Eagles, going down 17-0 in the first half, but all's well that ends well. The only big favorite to lose was the Browns, though the Seahawks had a close call too.
Let's take a look at Week 2:
|Team||Opponent||%Taken*||Vegas ML**||Vegas Odds||Expected Loss|
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
As you can see, there's a slam dunk choice this week, the only 30-percent-owned Patriots at the Dolphins. There are times when you want to fade the obvious team, but apparently a lot of people want to save the Pats for later in the year. Do not do this.
1. New England Patriots
Anyone can lose in the NFL – even the implied Vegas odds put the Dolphins chances at more than five percent, and you wouldn't get on an airplane with a five percent chance of crashing. But this is about as good as it gets, and there's no pot odds fade as the Patriots are only 30 percent owned. I give the Patriots a 94 percent chance to win this game.
2. Baltimore Ravens
If for whatever reason you had