ADP Watch: Summer's Biggest Mysteries
ADP Watch: Summer's Biggest Mysteries

This article is part of our Football Draft Kit series.

For all the great information we can pull from best-ball sites, it's also useful to analyze average draft position (ADP) for leagues that require in-season management. Best ball encourages a slightly different approach outside the top 100 or so picks, with increased emphasis on getting some level of production, even if it's not much. In leagues with FAAB or waivers, we can overwhelmingly focus on upside in the late stages of drafts, knowing there will be other opportunities to find injury/bye-week replacements during the season. This calculation is different in best ball, where safe picks like Mohamed Sanu and Jalen Richard improve our odds of avoiding those dreaded goose eggs later in the year.

A numbers of fantasy sites publish ADP from mock drafts, but the inevitable reality of these exercises is that many participants don't take them seriously or log off after the first few rounds. Mocks also encourage the type of risky picks — Josh Gordon, Tyreek Hill, Kareem Hunt — that people are hesitant to make when they actually have money on the line. Practice drafters often assemble "pretty" lineups full of recognizable names, with minimal thought to roster construction or how such a team would actually perform in the fall.

At this early point in the summer, my favorite choice for ADP data comes from the National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC), which hosted 50 season-long drafts with buy-ins throughout June. I'll restrict my analysis to running backs, wide receivers and tight ends, as the

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry Donabedian
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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