Day-To-Day
Injury Elbow
2024 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
4.60
WHIP
1.53
K
13
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson worked as a back-end starter for Arizona in 2023, but it was an underwhelming rookie campaign with a 5.31 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 96:46 K:BB across 144 innings. His 7.4 percent walk rate was solid and consistent with his time in the minors, but he had a 15.5 percent strikeout rate and a 1.5 HR/9. He still made the postseason roster and had a minimal role prior to the World Series, when he allowed just one run over 5.1 frames of valuable long relief in Game 4. Despite that strong finish, Nelson likely won't enter 2024 with any guarantee for a rotation spot, especially since Arizona made additions in free agency. However, the right-hander still has plenty of upside and was encouragingly less reliant on his fastball last season, and he could be a solid back-end piece in 2024 if he's able to better utilize his secondary offerings. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#542
ADP
Dealing with bruised elbow
Nelson exited Thursday's start against the Giants due to a right elbow contusion.
ANALYSIS
Nelson took a comebacker to his arm while recording the final out of the second inning and was forced to exit the game. It appears that he's avoided a fracture or other more serious injury, so it remains possible that he's available for his next turn through the rotation.
Nelson took a comebacker to his arm while recording the final out of the second inning and was forced to exit the game. It appears that he's avoided a fracture or other more serious injury, so it remains possible that he's available for his next turn through the rotation.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
71
Last 10 Games
71
Last 5 Games
71
How many pitches does Ryne Nelson generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Ryne Nelson generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
-41%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .273 | 54 | 39 | 88 | 12 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .273 | 71 | 18 | 99 | 16 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .214 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .361 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .294 | 42 | 33 | 77 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .276 | 54 | 13 | 82 | 15 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .156 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .133 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-54%
ERA on Road
2024
-26%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 7.02 | 1.78 | 75.2 | 5.5 | 4.0 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.25 | 1.07 | 102.1 | 6.9 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 5.19 | 1.96 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 5.2 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.86 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| 2023Home | 8.25 | 1.92 | 55.2 | 5.0 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.46 | 1.11 | 88.1 | 6.6 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2022Home | 2.38 | 0.97 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 4.8 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0.00 | 0.57 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ryne Nelson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.60K/9
7.5BB/9
2.9HR/9
1.1Fastball
95.3 mphERA
4.60WHIP
1.53BABIP
.353GB/FB
1.41Left On Base
70.8%Swinging Strike
9.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ryne Nelson See More
The San Francisco Giants host the Arizona Diamondbacks in a light slate, with John Ryan providing MLB Expert Picks and Bets for Thursday, April 18.
Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs is one of the main events of a lighter slate for April 18, and Juan Carlos Blanco delivers MLB Best Bets and Players Props for this and one other game.
Chris Morgan takes a look at both the afternoon and night DraftKings slates, headlined by Griffin Canning as a value pitching target.
Thursday's top MLB DFS options on FanDuel include Rafael Devers at a reduced salary as he looks to get going against the Guardians.
Yu Darvish and the San Diego Padres take on the Los Angeles Dodgers as one of the featured games for Michael Rathburn's MLB Expert Picks and Player Props for April 14.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson's 2022 season was quite the roller coaster. He gave up 43 earned runs over a 53.1-inning stretch from mid-April to mid-June, righted the ship somewhat over the next couple months, excelled over three MLB starts and ended the season on the injured list with shoulder inflammation. His struggles in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League shouldn't be a prohibitive factor in his 2023 outlook, especially given that he had success at Double-A and in a small MLB sample. Nelson threw his plus fastball (touches 98 mph, excellent rising action) 70% of the time while mixing in a couple breaking balls and a changeup. He showed impressive flashes against quality big-league hitters and should break camp in Arizona's rotation if his shoulder issue is in the rearview mirror. There is some risk that his reliance on his fastball will be exploited as hitters see him a second time, but Nelson has legitimately good stuff and size (6-foot-3, 184 pounds) and a clear opportunity.
More Fantasy News
Early exit
Nelson was forced to leave Thursday's start against the Giants after taking a comebacker to his right wrist in the second inning, Jesse Friedman of GoPHNX.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Effective over six frames in win
Nelson (1-2) earned the win over St. Louis on Saturday, allowing one run on seven hits and one walk while striking out four batters over six-plus innings.
ANALYSIS
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Surrenders pair of homers in loss
Nelson (0-2) took the loss Sunday against Atlanta, giving up three runs on five hits and no walks across five innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Stumbles in 2024 debut
Nelson (0-1) took the loss Monday against the Yankees, allowing five runs (four earned) on five hits and four walks across 2.2 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Earns rotation slot
Nelson will begin the season in Arizona's rotation, Steve Gilbert of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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