Hunter Greene
20-Year-Old PitcherRP
Cincinnati Reds A+
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/1/2020
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Greene and the Reds decided to take the rest-and-rehab route with his torn UCL, and to the surprise of very few, it did not work out. What was lost was essentially eight months of would-be recovery time; Greene was first diagnosed with a sprained UCL in his right elbow in early August of 2018 and did not undergo Tommy John surgery until April 9. The second overall pick in 2017 after landing a Sports Illustrated cover with the caption "The Star Baseball Needs," Greene was always seen as a Tommy John risk given his upper-90s velocity out of high school. The procedure obviously slows his development timeline, but Greene is only 20 years old and his future remains bright. Expect the 6-foot-4 righty to push closer to the long end of the typical 12-18 month recovery window from TJS. He should pitch 50 or so innings at the low levels late in the season before building back up in earnest in 2021. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Reds in July of 2017 that includes a $7.23 million signing bonus.
Throwing bullpen sessions
PCincinnati Reds  A+
March 20, 2020
Greene (elbow) has been throwing bullpen sessions and said on his personal Twitter account that he is feeling "stronger and better than ever before."
He is recovering from Tommy John surgery that he underwent April 9, 2019. Given the fact that the minor-league season may not begin until June or July, Greene could be fully recovered by the time games resume. He should open the year at High-A.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Greene showed flashes of his immense upside last season, but his career is in a bit of a holding pattern due to an elbow injury. After some initial bumps in the road with Low-A Dayton, Greene, the second overall pick in the 2017 first-year player draft, went on to post ace-like numbers over a 10-start stretch (2.39 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 59:9 K:BB in 49 innings). The good fortune ran out -- Greene turned in a few abbreviated outings in July before being diagnosed with a sprained UCL in his right elbow. Usually, the course of action with that diagnosis is Tommy John surgery, but Greene opted against surgery. It's risky to pass on the procedure. For many players, the alternative routes still end up leading to the same destination and they simply delay the inevitable. Greene started throwing off a mound in December and should be a full participant in spring training if he avoids setbacks, but the potential for TJS before he reaches MLB is still an elephant in the room.
Greene only logged 4.1 innings (three starts) on the mound after receiving the largest bonus ($7.23 million) of any player in the 2017 draft. The Reds deployed him as a designated hitter initially, in part to see how he stacked up against pro pitching and also to get him acclimated while limiting his innings. He was then transitioned to the hill, where he figures to spend the rest of his career. He sat at 99-to-100 mph with his fastball in each of his outings, never throwing more than 35 pitches. At 6-foot-4, 197 pounds, he has a prototypical starter’s frame. Some evaluators believe he is the most athletic prep righty to come along in 20 years. This athleticism leads to plus projections on his command. Until his secondary pitches can be thrown with confidence, he will be prone to some ugly stat lines, but it’s important not to focus on that right now. He’s throwing gas, he’s healthy, all is good. Look for him to be held back in extended spring training, before eventually finishing the year with Low-A Dayton.
More Fantasy News
Set to throw next week
PCincinnati Reds  A+
January 19, 2020
Greene (elbow) is scheduled to begin a throwing program next week, Keenan Singleton of ABC 9 Cincinnati reports.
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Undergoes Tommy John surgery
PCincinnati Reds  A+
April 9, 2019
Greene underwent Tommy John surgery Tuesday, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
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Headed for Tommy John surgery
PCincinnati Reds  A+
April 1, 2019
Greene is slated for Tommy John surgery, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
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Throwing in camp
PCincinnati Reds  A+
March 14, 2019
Greene (elbow) has been throwing bullpen sessions, mixing in all of his pitches so far in spring training, Jim Callis of reports. "It's been going really well so far," Greene said. "The progression has been great. Just confidence-wise, I feel like I'm back. I'm confident with every pitch that I throw and focusing on my bullpens and the spots I need to hit and just kind of being in sync with my body."
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Hopes to begin throwing in December
PCincinnati Reds  A+
October 12, 2018
Greene (elbow) said that his arm feels "fine" and that he hopes to resume throwing in December or January, Bobby Nightengale of the Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
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