Caleb Smith
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Smith dazzled out of the gates in 2019 and was one of the biggest fantasy surprises over the first half of the season, recording a 1.01 WHIP and 88:21 K:BB prior to the All-Star break despite missing almost a month in June and early July due to left hip inflammation. However, the 28-year-old faltered over his last 12 starts, recording a 6.25 ERA and 1.52 WHIP while allowing 17 home runs. Smith had an above-average 26 K% in 2019, but also a 9.3 BB% and 1.94 HR/9 (the latter would have ranked as the worst mark among starters had he logged enough innings to qualify). As one would expect, those home-run issues were exacerbated outside of Marlins Park. Smith has middling fastball velocity, struggles to limit hard hits and home runs, and the Marlins are inconsistent in providing run support. The injury history further dings his appeal, though Smith is at least in the conversation as a lottery-ticket SP. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Yankees in 2013 that includes an $100,000 signing bonus.
Trouble finding plate this spring
PMiami Marlins
March 29, 2020
Smith posted a 4.00 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 10:7 K:BB through nine innings before spring training was suspended.
ANALYSIS
While the strikeouts were nice, the free passes were a little concerning, and when opposition batters were able to make contact they did damage -- two of the four hits Smith allowed left the yard. The southpaw is locked into a rotation spot for the Marlins, but after a dazzling first half and poor second half in 2019, he's hoping to find some consistency this season. If Smith returns to his form from early last year, he could become a valuable trade chip for a Miami club still far from contention.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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DraftKings
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Head2Head
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
95
Last 10 Games
96
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Caleb Smith generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Caleb Smith generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .253 268 65 20 62 12 0 6
Since 2017vs Right .218 790 209 83 150 37 3 41
2019vs Left .211 147 34 12 28 6 0 4
2019vs Right .227 499 134 48 100 23 2 29
2018vs Left .287 92 25 5 25 3 0 2
2018vs Right .191 234 63 28 38 13 1 8
2017vs Left .360 29 6 3 9 3 0 0
2017vs Right .240 57 12 7 12 1 0 4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-51%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.53 1.16 119.2 8 6 0 10.2 3.4 1.2
Since 2017Away 5.69 1.36 129.2 7 12 0 9.6 4.0 2.2
2019Home 3.56 1.13 73.1 6 4 0 10.4 3.3 1.2
2019Away 5.40 1.31 80.0 4 7 0 9.3 3.7 2.6
2018Home 3.13 1.21 37.1 2 2 0 10.1 3.1 0.7
2018Away 5.18 1.28 40.0 3 4 0 10.4 4.5 1.6
2017Home 5.00 1.22 9.0 0 0 0 8.0 5.0 3.0
2017Away 10.24 2.07 9.2 0 1 0 9.3 4.7 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Caleb Smith compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.80
 
K/9
9.9
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
1.9
 
Fastball
91.6 mph
 
ERA
4.52
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.264
 
GB/FB
0.55
 
Left On Base
74.9%
 
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
10.7%
 
Spin Rate
2289 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
36.3%
 
Swinging Strike
13.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Caleb Smith
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Four
10 days ago
Todd Zola continues his breakdown of last year's NFBC Main Event rosters and explains why he thinks Christian Yelich showed up on so few league-winning squads.
RotoWire Roundtable: Updated Composite Rankings
73 days ago
Individual sets of fantasy baseball rankings by Jeff Erickson, Todd Zola, Clay Link and Erik Halterman are compiled into a top 300 composite ranking, with a two-week delay to the season factored in.
RotoWire Roundtable: Top 300 Composite Rankings
85 days ago
Individual sets of fantasy baseball rankings by Jeff Erickson, Clay Link, Todd Zola and Erik Halterman are compiled into a composite ranking.
Building the Ultimate Draft List -- Part 1
91 days ago
Chris Liss walks us through the process that helped him finish 12th overall in the NFBC Online Championship last year.
NFBC Beat Chris Liss 1
95 days ago
Chris said he'd take a pitcher in the first round and was true to his word, nabbing Houston ace Justin Verlander over Francisco Lindor at pick eight.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
His season was ended prematurely by lat and shoulder injuries which required surgery, but during his time on the field Smith flashed an impressive skill set. In 77.1 innings with the big-league team, he posted a 27.0% strikeout rate. Despite below-average fastball velocity, Smith was highly successful in challenging hitters with the fastball, as he ranked among the league leaders on swings and misses in the strike zone with the four-seamer. He was also able to get swings out of the zone with the slider later in counts, but further development of the changeup will be necessary if Smith is to make it as a starter long term. The lefty is an extreme flyball pitcher (50.8 FB%, 28.4 GB%), which makes him a nice fit in Marlins Park but dicey away from home (5.18 ERA on the road last year). Health provided, Smith should be starting every fifth day for Miami, and there is some upside here, but it's best to stream him carefully early on.
Smith is a name worth knowing primarily because he's a member of the Marlins' organization. The 26-year-old lefty has just 18.2 major-league innings to his name, in which he's posted a 7.71 ERA. But for a Marlins team which lacks depth in the starting rotation (or really anywhere on the team), Smith could easily end up making double-digit starts. He's been a solid performer in his minor-league career, recording a 3.19 ERA with 8.5 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in five seasons. That's not impressive enough for him to project as a real weapon in 2018, but it's enough to make him relevant in NL-only leagues. With Wei-Yin Chen and Dan Straily both injured to start the season, a rotation spot has opened up for Smith.
More Fantasy News
Solid spring debut
PMiami Marlins
February 29, 2020
Smith tossed two scoreless innings in his first Grapefruit League action Friday, giving up one hit and two walks while striking out three, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Finishes on sour note
PMiami Marlins
September 28, 2019
Smith (10-11) took the loss Saturday at Philadelphia after allowing six runs (five earned) on five hits and four walks over three innings. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Bags 10th win
PMiami Marlins
September 23, 2019
Smith (10-10) got the win against the Mets on Monday, giving up four earned runs on seven hits over six innings, striking out three and walking four as the Marlins won 8-4.
ANALYSIS
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Bags ninth win
PMiami Marlins
September 17, 2019
Smith (9-10) got the win against the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, giving up four earned runs on eight hits over five innings, striking out four and walking one as the Marlins prevailed 12-6.
ANALYSIS
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Takes another loss
PMiami Marlins
September 12, 2019
Smith (8-10) allowed three runs on six hits with two walks and four strikeouts across 5.2 innings while taking a loss against the Brewers on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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