Kyle Tucker

Kyle Tucker

24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Houston Astros
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Tucker was already slated to see a lot of playing time last season, but with Yordan Alvarez missing just about the entire year, Tucker appeared in 58 out of 60 games. His slash line was nearly identical to his short stay in 2019 but he did It without the benefit of the livelier ball. Tucker's K% improved which is key for someone so young, providing a batting average floor for his enticing power/speed upside. There's a lot of red in Tucker's Statcast profile, indicating his performance is supported by strong batted-ball skills, notably average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. Icing on the cake is a tidy 8-for-9 in stolen-base attempts, prorating to a 20-steal campaign. Tucker is assured of regular playing time, hitting in the middle of a potent order. Entering just his age-24 season, Tucker checks all the boxes for the classic five-category stud, with future first-round, $30-plus potential. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#32
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $568,700 contract with the Astros in March of 2020.
Delivers another ALDS homer
OFHouston Astros
October 11, 2021
Tucker went 2-for-4 with a home run, a double, four RBI and an additional run Sunday in the Astros' 12-6 loss to the White Sox in Game 3 of the ALDS.
ANALYSIS
Tucker looked like he might carry Houston to a 3-0 series lead early in Sunday's contest, as he roped a two-run double and two-run home run in consecutive at-bats in the second and third innings, respectively, to stake the Astros to an early 5-1 advantage. Unfortunately for Houston, the White Sox roared back with five runs in the bottom of the third to take the lead, then plated three more in the fourth and eighth to turn the game into a runaway. Through the first three games of the ALDS, Tucker has been one of Houston's most productive hitters with a pair of home runs and seven RBI.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
8
15
45
17
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
4
6
15
19
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .854 302 48 18 60 3 .271 .315 .539
Since 2019vs Right .913 561 83 25 85 24 .294 .365 .548
2021vs Left .910 202 34 13 44 0 .286 .332 .578
2021vs Right .920 363 49 17 48 14 .299 .375 .545
2020vs Left .705 72 10 4 11 0 .221 .264 .441
2020vs Right .911 154 23 5 31 8 .295 .357 .554
2019vs Left .840 28 4 1 5 3 .296 .321 .519
2019vs Right .868 44 11 3 6 2 .250 .318 .550
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .940 410 67 20 72 13 .308 .363 .576
Since 2019Away .849 453 64 23 73 14 .265 .333 .516
2021Home 1.006 274 45 15 49 8 .332 .391 .615
2021Away .832 291 38 15 43 6 .259 .330 .502
2020Home .800 103 16 4 17 4 .255 .311 .489
2020Away .881 123 17 5 25 4 .283 .341 .540
2019Home .834 33 6 1 6 1 .281 .303 .531
2019Away .876 39 9 3 5 4 .257 .333 .543
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Tucker compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.59
 
BB Rate
9.4%
 
K Rate
15.9%
 
BABIP
.304
 
ISO
.263
 
AVG
.294
 
OBP
.359
 
SLG
.557
 
OPS
.917
 
wOBA
.391
 
Exit Velocity
82.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
39.7%
 
Barrels/PA
9.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Tucker
FanDuel MLB: Friday ALCS Targets
4 days ago
Chris Bennett gets into Friday’s ALCS Game 1, providing some insight toward building a winning FanDuel lineup.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Division Series Targets
7 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's playoff slate and likes Dodgers' stacks in almost any format, as stars like Mookie Betts have strong track records against Anthony DeSclafani.
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12 days ago
With the Division Series starting Thursday, Mike Barner delivers his DraftKings recommendations to help you build a winning playoff lineup.
Playoff Primer: The Rankings
14 days ago
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FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
21 days ago
Chris Bennett looks over Tuesday's slate as Walker Buehler attempts to return to form before the playoffs in a home start against the Padres.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
The Astros stuck by Josh Reddick throughout the 2019 season, much to the chagrin of Tucker's fantasy owners. He did finally get some run in September and enjoyed his first taste of big-league success, and even earned a spot on the postseason roster through the World Series. On account of being stuck at Triple-A and accumulating 536 PA with Round Rock, Tucker put up a 30-30 season, leading the PCL in stolen bases. He walked at an 11.2% clip while striking out 21.6% of the time. The latter number jumped to 27.8% against big-league arms and it is a long, unconventional swing, but the batted-ball numbers were excellent and his track record suggests he will be able to make enough contact. The big question is: how much will he run? Houston as a club stole 67 bases all year (17th in total attempts), though Tucker was active on the basepaths and it's possible the Astros run more under a new manager.
Tucker was the second-youngest player and third-best hitter (155 wRC+) in the Pacific Coast League. He had three short stints in the big leagues (MLB debut on July 7) but never got going at the dish. In the 28 Triple-A games (including PCL playoffs) that followed his MLB debut, he hit .388/.463/.750 with 12 home runs and eight steals, so it is safe to say he has nothing to prove at that level. Tucker has plus power and should have no trouble hitting 20-plus homers once he is playing every day. His stolen-base totals oversell his pure speed, but he has good instincts on the bases and should be a double-digit contributor there as well. His batted-ball profile at Triple-A was ideal (35.8 GB%), and while he may not be a .300 hitter, he will do a lot of damage as a .270 or .280 hitter. To manipulate his service time to maximize their years of control, the Astros would need to hold Tucker down until mid-May, which would be disingenuous, but also can't be ruled out.
Reasonable minds could disagree about whether power, speed or batting average will be Tucker's most valuable fantasy contribution, and that's the selling point. He's good at everything. In 2016 he stole 32 bases on 44 tries. He only stole 21 bags last year, but launched 25 homers across stops at High-A and Double-A, putting an end to the "will he hit for power" debate. A .286 BABIP suppressed his Texas League batting average, but his hit tool has the potential to be special -- his swing receives Ted Williams comps. Tucker has been unduly pull happy (49.1 percent pull rate at Double-A) for a prospect with the raw talent to compete for batting titles. His newfound over-the-fence power may have momentarily compromised his approach, but with more upper-level instruction, he should eventually display an all-fields approach. He is the Astros' best hitting prospect since Alex Bregman and capable of playing all three outfield spots, so while the big-league roster is crowded, the velvet rope will be lifted when he's ready to join the mix this summer.
Drafted fifth overall in 2015, Tucker spent much of last season with Low-A Quad Cities but reached the High-A level for the final 16 games of his age-19 campaign. The brother of Preston Tucker (also in the Astros organization), Kyle didn't miss a beat following the promotion. In fact, he surged at the dish, going 20-for-59 (.339 average) with 11 extra-base hits and a 10:6 BB:K with Lancaster. Not only does Tucker demonstrate an advanced approach and discerning eye for his age, he has plus speed and there's plenty of room for power growth as he fills out his 6-foot-4 frame. He is already a top-20 prospect for fantasy purposes and he has the skill set to rise quickly through the system, so Tucker should be treated as a hot commodity in any long-term keeper league with minor league roster spots.
Tucker, the fifth overall pick of the 2015 draft, joined the same organization as his older brother Preston when the Astros selected him last June. One of the top hitting prospects in the 2015 class, the 6-foot-4, 190-pound outfielder struggled in rookie ball, hitting only .246/.294/.353 in 63 games between the Gulf Coast League and Greeneville Astros. He did help Greeneville win the Appalachian League title, however, alongside 37th overall pick Daz Cameron.
More Fantasy News
Homers in Game 2
OFHouston Astros
October 8, 2021
Tucker went 2-for-4 with a home run and three RBI in Friday's 9-4 win over the White Sox in Game 2 of the ALDS.
ANALYSIS
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Finishes 2021 with 30 homers
OFHouston Astros
October 3, 2021
Tucker went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in Sunday's 7-6 win over the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Gets Friday off
OFHouston Astros
October 1, 2021
Tucker will be on the bench Friday against the Athletics, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Blasts 28th homer
OFHouston Astros
September 26, 2021
Tucker went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Saturday's 2-1 loss to the A's.
ANALYSIS
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Socks 27th home run
OFHouston Astros
September 21, 2021
Tucker went 1-for-4 with a home run, a walk and three RBI in Tuesday's 10-5 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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