Noah Syndergaard
Noah Syndergaard
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 6/1/2021
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Was 2016 the summit for Thor's career? We've all expected bigger and better things from him and have drafted him based on his ceiling, but continue to be frustrated by the return on investment from the demigod. Last season was the second consecutive season where the expected stats were better than the actual outcomes, and the third consecutive season in which his ERA outpaced his FIP. He allowed four or more earned runs in 14 of his 32 outings last season despite multiple home runs in just six of his 32 outings. The stuff is too good for his results to be this inconsistent, leaving one to wonder if a change of scenery might do him good. He is already pitching behind a true staff ace, so that pressure is removed, but he continues to leave us wanting more from him. Stop drafting him as a low SP1, because he has not pitched like one in three seasons now. He is a good SP2 with upside. Read Past Outlooks
$Agreed to a one-year, $9.7 million deal with the Mets in January of 2020.
Undergoes Tommy John surgery
PNew York Mets
Elbow
March 27, 2020
Syndergaard underwent successful Tommy John surgery Thursday to repair a torn UCL in his right elbow, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
News of the impending procedure was reported earlier this week, and the right-hander will miss all of the 2020 season and at least part of the 2021 season while facing a 12-to-14 month recovery. Syndergaard apparently had the issue crop up prior to the suspension of spring training, though it didn't show in his numbers with an 11:0 K:BB over eight innings. Rick Porcello and Michael Wacha are in line to round out the starting rotation once play resumes for the Mets.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
97
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Noah Syndergaard generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Noah Syndergaard generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-39%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .256 787 174 47 186 35 5 16
Since 2017vs Right .250 806 217 45 185 32 3 17
2019vs Left .266 378 78 21 93 18 2 13
2019vs Right .248 447 124 29 101 19 2 11
2018vs Left .258 346 73 24 82 14 2 3
2018vs Right .241 298 82 15 66 11 1 6
2017vs Left .186 63 23 2 11 3 1 0
2017vs Right .305 61 11 1 18 2 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-32%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-70%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.87 1.25 207.0 15 7 0 9.3 2.4 0.9
Since 2017Away 3.44 1.17 175.1 9 7 0 9.0 1.9 0.6
2019Home 5.02 1.31 107.2 6 5 0 9.1 2.8 1.4
2019Away 3.40 1.14 90.0 4 3 0 9.3 1.7 0.7
2018Home 2.87 1.26 78.1 8 1 0 9.2 2.5 0.5
2018Away 3.20 1.16 76.0 5 3 0 8.9 2.0 0.6
2017Home 1.71 0.86 21.0 1 1 0 11.1 0.0 0.0
2017Away 5.79 1.50 9.1 0 1 0 7.7 2.9 0.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Noah Syndergaard compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.04
 
K/9
9.2
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
97.7 mph
 
ERA
4.28
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.324
 
GB/FB
1.64
 
Left On Base
68.0%
 
Exit Velocity
86.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.6%
 
Spin Rate
2067 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.4%
 
Swinging Strike
12.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Normally, when a pitcher of Syndergaard’s ilk visits the disabled list twice, there’s trouble. However, last season the respites were a blessing in disguise to manage workload, coming off a 2017 campaign in which he threw only 30.1 innings. Better yet, neither stint was related to his elbow or shoulder. The first was for a strained ligament in his right index finger while the second was due to hand, foot and mouth disease. Syndergaard finished with a reasonable 25 starts and 154.1 innings, paving the way for a year with no restrictions. His fastball and slider velocity dropped a tick, perhaps explaining a career-low 24.1 K%. There was talk new pitching coach Dan Warthen encouraged Syndergaard to back it off a bit, but there was no evidence the decline was by design. As always, the key with Syndergaard is health. His stuff remains filthy. If 32 starts were guaranteed, Syndergaard would be a top-five starter. As is, he’ll be someone’s fantasy ace.
It began on Opening Day as Syndergaard was removed after six scoreless innings with a blister. Two starts later, he left early again with a split fingernail. Then came a bout of tired arm, diagnosed as bicep tendinitis. After skipping a turn, he returned on April 30 and promptly tore his lat muscle. Rehab took longer than anticipated, but Thor returned in late September, tossing an inning against the Nationals before throwing two against the Phillies to end the season. Remember, Syndergaard opted not to have surgery last offseason to take care of a bone spur in his right elbow. It remains to be seen if that decision will come back to haunt him. There's no doubting his skills; the question is health. Some believe Syndergaard should ratchet down the velocity of his 98 mph heater and 91 mph slider. Realize Syndergaard only threw 30.1 innings last season, so he may not reach the total commensurate with his market price.
Thor established himself as the Mets' ace fairly early in his sophomore season, improving upon nearly all of his rookie metrics en route to leading all qualified starters with a 2.29 FIP. His elbow was examined in May, and in late June he was pulled from a start and it was revealed that he was dealing with a bone spur in his elbow. Syndergaard posted a 3.10 ERA and 108:31 K:BB in 92.2 innings after the diagnosis, compared to a 2.08 ERA and 110:12 K:BB in 91 innings prior, so it is possible that his control was negatively affected, although he still pitched like an ace. Surgery to remove the bone spur was deemed unnecessary in the offseason. Syndergaard still boasts two filthy pitches in his 98 mph fastball and 91 mph slider, so he should be one of the top five pitchers off the board heading into his age-24 season. The next hurdle for the best young pitcher in baseball will be to eclipse the 200-inning mark for the first time in his career.
"Thor" made his much-anticipated debut on May 12, and from Day 1, he was every bit as advertised. Using a fastball that averaged over 97 mph -- the highest ever recorded for a starting pitcher in a season with a minimum of 100 IP (according to FanGraphs) -- a curveball, a changeup, and a rarely-used slider, Syndergaard struck batters out at a 27.5% clip while issuing just 31 free passes in 150 regular-season innings. The 23-year-old had an above-average groundball rate, but the balls that got up did some damage -- his inflated HR/FB rate was really his only blemish. It's rare that you find a pitcher with Syndergaard's overpowering stuff and great control, the latter being the product of a remarkably clean, repeatable delivery. His talent is not in question, and after he tossed 179.2 combined innings between Triple-A Las Vegas and the majors last season, neither is his 2016 workload. Invest with confidence.
The big right-hander enters 2015 as the top pitching prospect in the minor leagues, and a borderline top-5 overall prospect. A lot was made of Syndergaard’s “struggles” at Triple-A Las Vegas in 2014, but a 4.60 ERA pitching in some of the most hitter-friendly conditions in the minor leagues is not nearly as bad as it looks. He fell victim to a .378 BABIP and still posted a quality 145:43 K:BB ratio in 133 innings. His second-half numbers (3.54 ERA and 63 strikeouts in 53.1 innings) were particularly impressive for a 21-year-old in the Pacific Coast League. At 6-foot-6, 240 pounds, he is equipped to handle 200-plus inning seasons, and the Mets have said he will have a generous 185-190 innings cap on his age-22 season. The biggest question is where he will fit in the rotation. With Jacob deGrom’s emergence and Matt Harvey’s return, the Mets easily go five deep, so Syndergaard may begin 2015 back in Las Vegas awaiting a June callup.
Syndergaard, who was traded to the Mets along with Travis d'Arnaud for R.A. Dickey, has surpassed d'Arnaud as the Mets' top prospect. Syndergaard went 9-4 with a 3.06 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 rate in 23 starts between High-A St. Lucie and Double-A Binghamton and also started the Futures Game for Team USA. He has a mid-90s fastball that bears in hard on righties and mixes in a 12-to-6 hard-biting curveball, and but his changeup is still a major work in progress. Syndergaard should follow the same path as fellow top prospects Matt Harvey and Zack Wheeler the past two years; beginning the year at Triple-A before receiving a summer call-up. Syndergaard projects to be a No. 2 or No. 3 starter, but his ceiling may hinge on the development of his changeup.
After a brief taste in 2011, Syndergaard pitched the entire season at Low-A Lansing. Throwing 103.2 innings, he recorded a 2.60 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP and had 122 strikeouts against only 31 walks. Just 20 years old, the 6-foot-5 right-hander will likely be brought along slowly by the Mets despite a very high ceiling. In addition to missing bats at an elite clip, Syndergaard surrendered just three homers in his first full professional season and does a good job of getting many of his contact outs on the ground. Look for him to spend most of the next two seasons in the minors refining his secondary pitches before getting onto the radar in New York in late 2014 or early 2015.
More Fantasy News
Needs Tommy John surgery
PNew York Mets
Elbow
March 24, 2020
Syndergaard was diagnosed with a torn UCL in his right elbow and will undergo Tommy John surgery Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fans four Astros on Sunday
PNew York Mets
March 9, 2020
Syndergaard gave up one run on two hits while striking out four over three innings in Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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Already touching 99
PNew York Mets
February 27, 2020
Syndergaard needed only 18 pitches (14 strikes) to breeze through two innings against the Astros on Wednesday, and his fastball was topping out at 99 mph, Kevin Kernan of The New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gets just under $10 million
PNew York Mets
January 10, 2020
Syndergaard agreed to a one-year, $9.7 million contract with the Mets on Friday, avoiding arbitration, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fans nine in no-decision
PNew York Mets
September 29, 2019
Syndergaard allowed three runs on five hits and two walks over seven innings Sunday, striking out nine in the win over Atlanta. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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